Solar Maximum and what to expect.
Mar 21, 2026
The northern lights showed up over Michigan last night. A coronal mass ejection launched from the sun on June 6th arrived at Earth on June 8th and lit up skies across the northern US. If you missed it, there will be more. The sun is not done yet.
The sun runs on an 11-year cycle between solar minimum — the quietest, least active phase — and solar maximum, when sunspot activity, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections peak. Solar Cycle 25 hit its maximum in October 2024, and 2026 is sitting in what scientists call the declining phase. That sounds like the show is winding down. It isn't. The years right after solar maximum tend to produce some of the most dramatic geomagnetic storms of the entire cycle, because the sun's magnetic field is still highly active and increasingly unstable as it shifts toward minimum. Strong individual events keep hitting. The January 2026 storm was severe. Last night was a G1 to G3. More are coming.
The next solar maximum isn't until the mid-2030s. If you want to see the northern lights in Michigan — from the 45th Parallel, in the dark, without driving to Alaska — 2026 is one of your last good years to do it.
In This Guide
01 What the Solar Cycle Actually Is 02 Why 2026 Still Matters 03 What Actually Causes the Colors 04 The Kp Index Explained 05 Dark Sky Parks in Michigan 06 Apps and Tools Worth Having 07 How to Actually WatchWhat the Solar Cycle Actually Is
The sun is not a static ball of fire. It's an active, churning star with its own weather system, and that system runs on a roughly 11-year cycle between minimum activity and maximum activity. Scientists track this cycle by counting sunspots — dark, magnetically intense regions on the sun's surface. When sunspot counts are high, solar activity is high. When they're low, the sun is quiet.
At solar maximum, the sun produces more sunspots, more solar flares — intense bursts of radiation — and more coronal mass ejections, or CMEs, which are large clouds of magnetized plasma flung out from the sun's surface at millions of miles per hour. When a CME is aimed at Earth and arrives here, it interacts with our planet's magnetic field and drives geomagnetic storms. Geomagnetic storms are what produce the northern lights at lower latitudes than usual.
The current cycle is Solar Cycle 25. It peaked in October 2024, earlier and stronger than most predictions. The May 2024 storm was the strongest geomagnetic event in 20 years — Kp 9, the highest on the scale — and produced aurora visible from every county in Michigan, including the suburbs of Detroit. That kind of event is rare. But in the years following a strong solar maximum, the sun produces more Earth-directed storms than at the peak itself. 2026 is still very much in play.
Why 2026 Still Matters
The years right after solar maximum are sometimes called the declining phase, which sounds like the action is over. It isn't. The sun's magnetic field is still wound up and unstable as it works through the transition toward minimum. Strong events keep coming. A severe geomagnetic storm in January 2026 lit up skies across the northern US. The June 8th CME produced G1 to G3 storm conditions across up to 20 states. There are more in the pipeline as the sun continues to shed the energy it built up during the peak.
What makes 2026 particularly worth paying attention to is the window it represents. The next solar maximum is not until the mid-2030s. Once Solar Cycle 25 winds down and the sun settles into its next minimum — probably around 2028 or 2029 — aurora activity will drop sharply and the northern lights will retreat back toward the Arctic where most people need a flight and serious cold gear to find them. 2026 is one of the last years of this elevated window.
Up here on the 45th Parallel, Northern Michigan sits in a sweet spot. Far enough north that even moderate geomagnetic activity can produce visible aurora. Far enough south that it's accessible — no flights to Iceland, no survival gear required, just a clear night and a dark field and some patience. A Kp of 5 is generally enough to push the lights into view in the Upper Peninsula. A Kp of 7 or higher and the northern Lower Peninsula starts to light up. During that May 2024 event at Kp 9, people were watching aurora from their backyards in Ann Arbor.
Kp thresholds for Michigan
Kp 5+ — Upper Peninsula visibility likely
Kp 7+ — Northern Lower Michigan visibility likely
Kp 8+ — Mid-Michigan and metro areas possible
Kp 9 — Visible statewide, as in May 2024
From the 45th Parallel corridor, a Kp of 5 or higher is your go-outside number.
What Actually Causes the Colors
When a coronal mass ejection hits Earth's magnetic field, it funnels charged particles — mostly electrons and protons — toward the polar regions, where the magnetic field lines converge and dip toward the surface. Those particles travel down into the upper atmosphere and collide with gas molecules. The collisions excite the gas atoms, which release the extra energy as light. That light is the aurora.
The color you see depends on which gas is being excited and at what altitude the collision is happening. It's the atmosphere lighting up in layers, each color marking a different height overhead.
Green
The most common aurora color. Oxygen atoms glowing at lower altitudes, roughly 60 to 150 miles up. This is what you see most often on a moderate aurora night and the first color that shows up when the Kp starts climbing.
Red
Also oxygen, but at much higher altitudes — 150 to 300 miles up, where the atmosphere is thin and collisions are rarer. Red auroras are rarer and tend to appear during stronger events at the upper edges of the aurora band. During the May 2024 storm, red was visible across the entire northern US.
Blue and Purple
Nitrogen molecules, usually at lower altitudes and during stronger events when the energy is higher and everything starts mixing together. Blues and purples often appear at the lower edges of the aurora curtain, where the display is most active.
Pink and Magenta
A mix of nitrogen and oxygen at the very bottom edge of the aurora curtain. Appears during intense events and tends to show up at the lower border of a strong display. If you're seeing pink, you're watching a serious storm.
It's worth sitting with what you're actually looking at when the sky lights up green. Particles launched from the surface of the sun, 93 million miles away, traveling through space for one to three days, threading through Earth's magnetic field, colliding with molecules in our atmosphere and releasing photons of a specific wavelength. The whole thing happening in silence overhead, while you stand in a field in Northern Michigan in the dark. It's a strange thing to witness and worth the late night it takes to do it.
The Kp Index Explained
The Kp index is a scale from 0 to 9 that measures how disturbed Earth's magnetic field is at any given time. Low numbers mean the field is calm and the aurora is staying close to the poles where it lives most of the time. High numbers mean a geomagnetic storm is in progress and the aurora is pushing south.
The scale corresponds to storm classification. Kp 5 is a G1 storm — minor, but enough to push aurora into the Upper Peninsula. Kp 6 is G2. Kp 7 is G3, which is when Northern Michigan below the bridge starts getting serious displays. Kp 8 and 9 are G4 and G5 — severe and extreme — and those are the events that send aurora all the way to the southern US. The May 2024 event was G5, Kp 9. Once in a generation stuff.
The practical number to know for the 45th Parallel corridor is 5. When the Kp hits 5 and the sky is clear and you're away from city lights, go outside and look north. You're in the zone. Don't wait for a forecast to tell you it's going to be good — those forecasts are made based on data from 93 million miles away and even the best predictions are only reliable about 24 to 48 hours out. When the number goes up and the clouds stay away, that's your window.
Kp scale at a glance
Dark Sky Parks in Michigan
City lights are the enemy of aurora watching. Light pollution scatters across the sky and drowns out the fainter displays that would otherwise be visible. The good news is that Michigan has a serious advantage here: the northern lower peninsula and the Upper Peninsula have some of the darkest skies in the Midwest, and the state actively manages a network of dark sky parks designed for exactly this kind of night.
Headlands Dark Sky Park in Emmet County near Mackinaw City is one of the best in the state — 600 acres of protected dark sky right on Lake Michigan with an open horizon to the north. Sleeping Bear Dunes National Lakeshore has earned International Dark Sky Park designation. Pictured Rocks National Lakeshore on the UP's south shore is darker still. These parks exist specifically to give people access to unobstructed night sky, and they work.
From the 45th Parallel corridor — Gaylord, Traverse City, Petoskey — you're within an hour of serious dark sky. Drive north, find a field or a shoreline with an open horizon, turn off your phone screen, give your eyes 20 minutes to adjust, and look north. If the Kp is up and the sky is clear, you'll see something worth the drive.
Find a dark sky park near you
Michigan's DNR maintains an official list of dark sky parks and scheduled dark sky events across the state.
| Michigan Dark Sky Parks |
Apps and Tools Worth Having
Aurora forecasting is genuinely difficult. The sun is 93 million miles away and CMEs travel at speeds that make precise timing predictions hard even for NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center. Most alerts are only reliable in the 24 to 48 hour window before an event. That means the apps are not there to help you plan a trip — they're there to alert you when something is actually happening so you can decide in the moment whether to go outside.
My Aurora Forecast is the one worth starting with. It shows Kp index projections, current geomagnetic activity, and location-based forecasts for whether the aurora will be visible from where you are. It's consistently rated the most accurate consumer app for aurora prediction and the interface is clear enough to actually use when you're half asleep at midnight trying to decide if it's worth getting out of bed.
Space Weather Live pulls directly from NOAA's data and shows the live Kp index, solar wind speed, and the Bz component — the direction of the magnetic field in the solar wind, which determines whether the CME energy actually couples with Earth's field and drives a storm. If Bz is pointing south (negative), energy is transferring and the aurora is likely. If it's pointing north, the storm may fizzle. This is the app for people who want to understand what's happening, not just get a notification.
NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center at swpc.noaa.gov is the primary source all the apps pull from. The dashboard shows real-time solar wind data, the current Kp, geomagnetic storm watches and warnings, and the 3-day outlook. If you want to go straight to the source without the app layer, this is the bookmark to keep.
How to Actually Watch
Get away from lights. That's the whole thing, really. Even a moderate aurora can be washed out by a gas station a mile away. You want a dark horizon to the north — a field, a shoreline, an open ridge. The darker the better.
Give your eyes time. It takes 20 minutes for your eyes to fully dark-adapt after being in lit spaces. Don't check your phone once you're out there — every glance at a bright screen resets the clock. If you need to look at your phone, cover one eye. Dim your screen to its lowest setting. Astronomers use red light for a reason: it doesn't kill night vision the way white or blue light does.
Watch the north horizon first. Aurora typically appears as a faint greenish glow on the northern horizon before it develops into curtains or rays overhead. If you're not sure whether what you're seeing is aurora or just a distant glow, take a photo with your phone on night mode. Phone cameras are more sensitive to aurora than the human eye and will often show green when you can't quite see it yourself.
Plan around the moon. A full moon is bright enough to wash out fainter auroras. New moon periods give you the darkest possible sky. Check the lunar calendar when you're planning a watch night — a new moon during a high-Kp period is the ideal combination.
The best viewing windows are from late September through late March, when nights are longest. But aurora doesn't care about the calendar and neither should you. That CME that hit on June 8th produced aurora in June. When the Kp goes up and the sky is clear, it doesn't matter what month it is. Go outside.
Quick checklist
Kp 5 or higher on your app
Clear sky forecast
New moon or thin crescent
Dark location, open northern horizon
20 minutes for your eyes to adjust
Phone face-down or in your pocket
Something warm to sit on
Common Questions
What is solar maximum? +
Solar maximum is the peak of the sun's 11-year activity cycle, when sunspot counts, solar flares, and coronal mass ejections are most frequent and intense. Solar Cycle 25 peaked in October 2024 at a higher level than most forecasters predicted. The years following the maximum — including 2026 — continue to produce strong geomagnetic events as the sun's magnetic field works through its transition toward minimum.
Can you see the northern lights in Michigan? +
Yes, and 2026 is one of the better years to try. During moderate geomagnetic storms (Kp 5+), aurora is visible from the Upper Peninsula. During stronger storms (Kp 7+), the northern Lower Peninsula lights up. During extreme events like the May 2024 Kp 9 storm, aurora was visible from every county in the state. Get away from city lights, check your aurora app, and watch the northern horizon.
What Kp index do you need to see the northern lights in Michigan? +
From Northern Michigan and the 45th Parallel corridor, a Kp of 5 is your threshold. That's a G1 geomagnetic storm — minor, but enough to push aurora into visible range from a dark location with a clear northern horizon. Kp 7 and higher produces strong displays in the northern Lower Peninsula. Kp 9 is the level that lit up the entire state in May 2024.
What causes the different colors in the northern lights? +
The color depends on which gas is being excited and at what altitude. Green is oxygen at 60 to 150 miles up — the most common aurora color. Red is also oxygen but at 150 to 300 miles up, rarer and appearing during stronger events. Blue and purple come from nitrogen, usually at lower altitudes during intense storms. Pink and magenta are a mix of nitrogen and oxygen at the very bottom edge of the display. If you're seeing red or pink, you're watching a serious storm.
What is the best app for northern lights alerts? +
My Aurora Forecast is a solid starting point — it shows Kp projections and location-based visibility estimates and is consistently rated the most accurate consumer app. Space Weather Live pulls live data directly from NOAA and shows the Bz component, which tells you whether a CME is actually coupling with Earth's magnetic field. NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center at swpc.noaa.gov is the primary source all the apps use, and worth bookmarking directly.
When is the best time of year to see the northern lights in Michigan? +
Late September through late March, when nights are longest. April and October tend to be particularly active months for geomagnetic storms. But aurora doesn't follow a seasonal calendar — the June 8, 2026 CME produced northern lights across Michigan in midsummer. When the Kp goes up and the sky is clear, the season doesn't matter. Go outside.
While the stars alone can be stunning in Northern Michigan, the aurora is a reminder of something larger. Particles from the sun, 93 million miles away, making the sky glow green over a dark field up here. 2026 is a year worth looking up.